Environmental experts have warned of a concerning development in the Arabian Sea, where the water temperature has been steadily rising. Barely a month after Cyclone Moka bid farewell, another cyclone is set to form in the same area. Bangladesh has named this new cyclone ‘Biparaya.’
According to Mausam Bhawan, ‘Biporjoy’ has the potential to intensify into a powerful cyclone within the next 48 hours. While it remains uncertain where it will make landfall, there is a significant risk that coastal regions of India, Oman, Iran, and Pakistan along the Arabian Sea will be impacted by this cyclone.
Cyclone Biporjoy’s Impact on Monsoon Arrival and Kerala
The Meteorological Department suggests that based on current environmental conditions and the accumulation of clouds in the sky, the impending disaster could potentially evolve into a super cyclone by June 12. This, in turn, may disrupt the arrival of the monsoon season.
Typically, monsoon reaches Kerala by June 1. However, this year’s late onset saw rainfall beginning in the first week of June. Nonetheless, Mausam Bhavan indicates that the cyclone’s influence may prompt the monsoon to reach Kerala within the next two days.
Despite its arrival, heavy rainfall is not anticipated for the time being. Mausam Bhavan’s forecast also suggests that the Northeast states may experience monsoon by the end of this week. There are concerns, however, that the cyclonic storm’s impact could delay the arrival of monsoon in Gangetic West Bengal.
Rising Water Temperature and Cyclone Trends in Arabian Sea
Environmental experts have observed a significant rise in water temperature in the Arabian Sea, which has increased by 1.2 degrees Celsius since March of this year. Their observations further reveal a 52 percent increase in the occurrence of severe cyclones and a staggering 150 percent increase in the occurrence of extremely severe cyclones.
The Arabian Sea is particularly prone to cyclones during the pre-monsoon period, with a 40 percent probability. This likelihood decreases to 20 percent after the monsoon season. Meteorologists attribute these trends to rising environmental temperatures and rapid weather fluctuations.